Whats wrong with my PM!?!?!

[ProfessorZ]

I made a Shigga Amza and a Vullseye at the same time. Got the Shigga not the Vullseye

Made a Ryo-Betatore with a Vullseye. Got the Ryo-Betattore and not the Vullseye

Made a Gatling with a Vullseye. Got the Beat gun but guess what? The Vullseye faiis again

BTW I have a 75% for ranged 5* weapons

[Eternal_Drake]

Uh, you were unlucky with your 3 Vullseye attempts. Nothing more, nothing less.

[Xbob]

Have you tried making JUST a Vullseye?

[Ryoki]

On 2006-11-25 16:20, Eternal_Drake wrote:
Uh, you were unlucky with your 3 Vullseye attempts. Nothing more, nothing less.


GFJ, lord of all obviousness!

________
EXTREME Q VAPORIZER (http://www.vaporshop.com/extreme-q-vaporizer.html)

[Eternal_Drake]

On 2006-11-25 16:24, Ryoki wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:20, Eternal_Drake wrote:
Uh, you were unlucky with your 3 Vullseye attempts. Nothing more, nothing less.


GFJ, lord of all obviousness!


Thank you.

[Ryoki]

On 2006-11-25 16:25, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:24, Ryoki wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:20, Eternal_Drake wrote:
Uh, you were unlucky with your 3 Vullseye attempts. Nothing more, nothing less.


GFJ, lord of all obviousness!


Thank you.


Hehe...I'm not gonna lie, that was pretty funny. I guess I just thought you sounded kind of cold...

________
VAPOLUTION VAPORIZER (http://www.vaporshop.com/vapolution-vaporizer.html)

[ProfessorZ]

Damn I'm such an idiot you're right. For every 3 weapons I make I'm doomed on the fourth try by having a 75%. Why didn't I think of that earlier



<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: ProfessorZ on 2006-11-25 16:35 ]</font>

[Eternal_Drake]

On 2006-11-25 16:34, ProfessorZ wrote:
Damn I'm such an idiot you're right. For every 3 weapons I make I'm doomed on the fourth try. Why didn't I think of that


Well I figured it was all just chance and probabilty, but yeah you are probably right

[ProfessorZ]

Since i have a 75% chance I have a 25% failure. If I made one now I would probably get it thatnks to captain obvious lol

[Xbob]

Yeah, it is possible, though immeasurably unlikely that even if you have 99% chance of success, you could get several thousand failures in a row. ;x

[VelosofLight]

I failed 5 5* synths in a row, at 59%. There's only a 1.2% chance of that happening. I won the screw-up lottery.
(.41^5)

[Turambar]

The mathematical chance of that happening is quite slim: .25 * .25 * .25 However, its obviously still a possibility.

[Eternal_Drake]

On 2006-11-25 16:58, ProfessorZ wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:50, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:48, ProfessorZ wrote:
Since i have a 75% chance I have a 25% failure. If I made one now I would probably get it thatnks to captain obvious lol


Holy shit, I am just stunned by how retarded you are.
You dont have a 100% chance of success, so there isn't a 100% chance you will get it. How hard is that to comprehend?



Are you a fucking idiot? When did I ever say I would have 100% chance of success?


Well obviously you think that since you didnt succeed, something must be wrong with your PM or you wouldn't have made this thread [unless the title is a joke].

[VelosofLight]

With a 75% success rate, the chances of failing 3 times consecutively is less than 1.6%. Very very slim. That's only 1 in 62 odds, roughly.

[Xeraphim]

On 2006-11-25 17:00, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:58, ProfessorZ wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:50, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:48, ProfessorZ wrote:
Since i have a 75% chance I have a 25% failure. If I made one now I would probably get it thatnks to captain obvious lol


Holy shit, I am just stunned by how retarded you are.
You dont have a 100% chance of success, so there isn't a 100% chance you will get it. How hard is that to comprehend?



Are you a fucking idiot? When did I ever say I would have 100% chance of success?


Well obviously you think that since you didnt succeed, something must be wrong with your PM or you wouldn't have made this thread [unless the title is a joke].



Not to start a flame war, but every thread I see with a post of yours in it, an arguement sprouts. You must get your jollies off of peer frustration, no?

On topic, I've had three halberts fail in a row. Finally, I got a pretty pro dark one that has stuck with me for awhile. I'll grind it tomorrow when I get Lv 3 luck, FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER.

[ProfessorZ]

On 2006-11-25 17:02, VelosofLight wrote:
With a 75% success rate, the chances of failing 3 times consecutively is less than 1.6%. Very very slim. That's only 1 in 62 odds, roughly.



I forgot to add that I was making palsara's (also with a 75%). I just figured out I was caught up in an unwanted loop.

[Eternal_Drake]

On 2006-11-25 17:11, Xeraphim wrote:

On 2006-11-25 17:00, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:58, ProfessorZ wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:50, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:48, ProfessorZ wrote:
Since i have a 75% chance I have a 25% failure. If I made one now I would probably get it thatnks to captain obvious lol


Holy shit, I am just stunned by how retarded you are.
You dont have a 100% chance of success, so there isn't a 100% chance you will get it. How hard is that to comprehend?



Are you a fucking idiot? When did I ever say I would have 100% chance of success?


Well obviously you think that since you didnt succeed, something must be wrong with your PM or you wouldn't have made this thread [unless the title is a joke].



Not to start a flame war, but every thread I see with a post of yours in it, an arguement sprouts. You must get your jollies off of peer frustration, no?

All I do is call 'em as I see 'em.

[Xeraphim]

On 2006-11-25 17:13, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 17:11, Xeraphim wrote:

On 2006-11-25 17:00, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:58, ProfessorZ wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:50, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:48, ProfessorZ wrote:
Since i have a 75% chance I have a 25% failure. If I made one now I would probably get it thatnks to captain obvious lol


Holy shit, I am just stunned by how retarded you are.
You dont have a 100% chance of success, so there isn't a 100% chance you will get it. How hard is that to comprehend?



Are you a fucking idiot? When did I ever say I would have 100% chance of success?


Well obviously you think that since you didnt succeed, something must be wrong with your PM or you wouldn't have made this thread [unless the title is a joke].



Not to start a flame war, but every thread I see with a post of yours in it, an arguement sprouts. You must get your jollies off of peer frustration, no?

All I do is call 'em as I see 'em.



That made little sense.

No, I take that back. It made no sense. But good try though. Rank C Comeback! http://www.pso-world.com/images/phpbb/icons/smiles/anime1.gif

[VelosofLight]

You're both idiots. 75% chance means that the odds are in your favor, but are not perfect. Fine. But 3 times in a row means that luck is REALLY against you. So Xeraphim, you're an idiot for not knowing math and for not shutting up. ProfessorZ, you're just an idiot for not shutting up.

Take your flamewars to either Gaia Online or 4chan. That's what those sites are for.

[ProfessorZ]

On 2006-11-25 17:20, VelosofLight wrote:
You're both idiots. 75% chance means that the odds are in your favor, but are not perfect. Fine. But 3 times in a row means that luck is REALLY against you. So Xeraphim, you're an idiot for not knowing math and for not shutting up. ProfessorZ, you're just an idiot for not shutting up.

Take your flamewars to either Gaia Online or 4chan. That's what those sites are for.



Are you serious? Have you ever taken math before retard?

[VelosofLight]

I refuse to be involved in this ignorant flamewar, but if you look at my previous posts in this thread, you'll see that I've mathematically predicted the odds what happened to you. Yes, I've taken math.

[Eternal_Drake]

On 2006-11-25 17:16, Xeraphim wrote:

On 2006-11-25 17:13, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 17:11, Xeraphim wrote:

On 2006-11-25 17:00, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:58, ProfessorZ wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:50, Eternal_Drake wrote:

On 2006-11-25 16:48, ProfessorZ wrote:
Since i have a 75% chance I have a 25% failure. If I made one now I would probably get it thatnks to captain obvious lol


Holy shit, I am just stunned by how retarded you are.
You dont have a 100% chance of success, so there isn't a 100% chance you will get it. How hard is that to comprehend?



Are you a fucking idiot? When did I ever say I would have 100% chance of success?


Well obviously you think that since you didnt succeed, something must be wrong with your PM or you wouldn't have made this thread [unless the title is a joke].



Not to start a flame war, but every thread I see with a post of yours in it, an arguement sprouts. You must get your jollies off of peer frustration, no?

All I do is call 'em as I see 'em.



That made little sense.

No, I take that back. It made no sense. But good try though. Rank C Comeback! http://www.pso-world.com/images/phpbb/icons/smiles/anime1.gif


I didn't really tailor that post to your specifications, surprisingly enough, so I can't say I'm surprised.

In other news, are you trying to start a flame war or something?

[Dhylec]

Hey guys, stop with the name calling already, please. Anymore will get a lock & all participants warnings.

[VelosofLight]

Hey, Eternal, wanna go get a soda or something and ignore these two idiots?

[Xeraphim]

On 2006-11-25 17:20, VelosofLight wrote:
So Xeraphim, you're an idiot for not knowing math and for not shutting up.



I never made any math comments at all. None related to it. But mmkay. I'm not going to flame anymore. Anyway, I suggest just keep trying. Random streaks of bad luck are found anywhere.

[Eternal_Drake]

On 2006-11-25 17:24, Dhylec wrote:
Hey guys, stop with the name calling already, please. Anymore will get a lock & all participants warnings.


It would be better if you just locked the thread now.