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  1. #9211

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dnd View Post
    so 140 cubes later I finally get to try this..
    Spoiler!
    I expect to see the 90% Ability III fail from you once again. I HOPE it doesn't happen... but I do kinda expect it.

  2. #9212

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dnd View Post
    so 140 cubes later I finally get to try this..
    Spoiler!
    To be fair the odds of all 6 succeeding are ~38%, although the odds of 3 or more failing are in the single digits.

  3. #9213

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    Quote Originally Posted by NexusAZ View Post
    I expect to see the 90% Ability III fail from you once again. I HOPE it doesn't happen... but I do kinda expect it.
    I expect it aswell and so do probably half the people i know in pso2 xD

    Quote Originally Posted by gigawuts View Post
    To be fair the odds of all 6 succeeding are ~38%, although the odds of 3 or more failing are in the single digits.
    I know the odds are low for it working and, to be honest, i didnt expect it to work first time but at the same time, i didnt expect that. just to get to 5 slots the first time i had 5 single 90% fails and 2 double 90% fails so that was a real kick in the teeth -.-;
    Pso2 - Ship2: Proud manager of team Celestial
    Quote Originally Posted by Azure Falcon View Post
    Loading tunnels have gone from 10-15 seconds down to 2-3 seconds and the normal lobby stuttering mess is buttery smooth currently.
    This must be some kind of glitch, I refuse to believe Sega have finally fixed this game's horrible performance problems.

  4. #9214
    Friends with Ragne-chan! Maenara's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigawuts View Post
    To be fair the odds of all 6 succeeding are ~38%, although the odds of 3 or more failing are in the single digits.
    The odds of three 85%s failing all at once is three eighths of one percent, 00.375%.
    Quote Originally Posted by GHNeko View Post
    this is an absolutely disgusting post

    reported.
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  5. #9215

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    Quote Originally Posted by Maenara View Post
    The odds of three 85%s failing all at once is three eighths of one percent, 00.375%.

  6. #9216

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    That's only one particular case though, not taking into account the other 3 slots that have to pass and the many different ways you can fail. Giga's statement is correct according to my math. The odds of failing 3 more in this scenario are 4.734%.

    Edit: Dang, beaten by Giga himself.

  7. #9217
    Friends with Ragne-chan! Maenara's Avatar
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    .15 ^ 3 is .00375

    Ability affixing is a series of independent probabilities like rolling a dice. If you roll six dice, the odds that three of them land on one is (1/6 ^ 3), not (1 - (5/6 ^ 3)).
    Last edited by Maenara; Sep 30, 2014 at 01:24 PM.
    Quote Originally Posted by GHNeko View Post
    this is an absolutely disgusting post

    reported.
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  8. #9218

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    The odds of those specific 3 failing are .15*3, but you also have to account for the other 3 succeeding which is .15^3*.85^3.

    Now you have to consider that those other three may have failed instead, so you have to double that number.

    Now you have to consider that any mixture of the first 3 and the second 3 may have failed, which is 20 total combinations.

    .15^3*.85^3*20=.041453...=4.15%

    And since I said 3 or more you add the odds of 4/6 failing, 5/6 failing, and 6/6 failing with the same process.

    Factorials are fun.

  9. #9219
    E-S-T-A-K-A SakoHaruo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dnd View Post
    so 140 cubes later I finally get to try this..
    Spoiler!
    I'm glad I'm not the only one going through this. /la cry.

    During the Falz Elder event I manage to find two PWands. Twas my first 12* since closed beta and Sega gave me two of them in one run(2 of the 3 characters)! With 12* passes right around the corner I decided the best choice would be to prepare the both of them for day one 12* buy/sell from the player shop.

    Well... Dudu said hell no to that shit and trolled me at 5s over 20 times in a row. 1 out of the 6 abilities failed 20 times in a row. After that he put me down to 2s and I could never get back to base 5. I spent 6.6mil trying to pull this shit off and waste tons of excubes and other resources. I fucking give up.

  10. #9220
    Friends with Ragne-chan! Maenara's Avatar
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    Plot twist: P Wand is actually quite common by then and will go the way of Ragne units.
    Quote Originally Posted by GHNeko View Post
    this is an absolutely disgusting post

    reported.
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